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    Home » XRP’s $1.40 test may require more than ETF inflows, analysts say
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    XRP’s $1.40 test may require more than ETF inflows, analysts say

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    Xrp’s $1.40 Test May Require More Than Etf Inflows, Analysts Say
    Xrp’s $1.40 Test May Require More Than Etf Inflows, Analysts Say

    XRP is holding on to gains after a recent rebound, remaining the best performer among the five largest cryptocurrencies by market value. The token rose to around $1.37 after testing support near $1.31 over the weekend, but renewed concerns around U.S. rates and lingering supply around $1.40 have kept upside in check.

    Markets steadied following a U.S. inflation print that broadly matched expectations, yet investors are still calibrating the outlook for the Federal Reserve. Data cited by ETF trackers also points to continued institutional interest in XRP, though momentum has cooled versus the prior month.

    Key takeaways

    • Price move: XRP bounced from support near $1.31 to trade around $1.37, after failing to sustain gains above the $1.40 area.
    • Catalyst: A U.S. inflation report aligned with expectations initially boosted crypto prices, but macro uncertainty and selling near $1.40 reasserted itself.
    • ETF signal: Spot XRP exchange-traded funds saw net inflows of about $32 million so far in September, suggesting institutional demand remains constructive.
    • Implication: ETF inflows may provide support, but a decisive break above $1.40 likely requires additional catalysts and sustained buying pressure.

    What drove the move

    Attention turned to U.S. consumer inflation after a report linked by Invezz said August consumer prices rose 3.4% year over year. The same reporting noted that month-over-month inflation came in slightly above forecasts by 10 basis points, pushing market pricing for a September interest-rate hike to 87%.

    Crypto prices initially moved higher after the data release, with multiple tokens breaking above nearby resistance levels. However, those gains faded into the weekend as traders reassessed the near-term rate path, a backdrop that can influence risk appetite across the asset class—particularly for high-beta markets like digital assets.

    For XRP specifically, the rebound helped preserve a broader up move since late August, but the $1.40 zone continues to attract sellers, limiting follow-through.

    XRP ETF flows and what they suggest

    Institutional activity remains one of the key supportive themes for XRP. According to data from SoSoValue, U.S. spot XRP ETFs pulled in approximately $32 million in net inflows so far in September.

    The report said that if inflows continue at the current daily pace, the funds could reach close to $90 million by the end of the month. That would still mark a decline versus August’s total, but it would remain higher than the inflows recorded in June and July—an indication that demand has not fully evaporated even as the rate of accumulation slows.

    Investors will likely watch whether inflows stabilize or accelerate as the month progresses, because sustained ETF buying can help cushion dips and reduce volatility around technical support levels.

    Ripple USD growth and network-adoption signals

    Beyond ETF flows, Ripple’s stablecoin ecosystem is emerging as another factor tied to XRP’s narrative. The article pointed to Ripple USD (RLUSD) market capitalization rising from $1.6 billion to $2.4 billion over a one-month period, representing a 50% increase.

    That expansion was framed as evidence that more capital is entering Ripple’s payments and financial-services environment. The piece also noted that Ripple has focused on growing prime brokerage operations, citing a $275 million funding secured last month to expand that business. The article suggested the additional capital may have contributed to higher RLUSD activity and trading volumes.

    In market terms, stablecoin growth can be an early indicator of increased network usage, which—if it translates into broader ecosystem engagement—may eventually support demand expectations for XRP. Still, investors may treat this as a secondary driver compared with macro and ETF momentum.

    Technical picture: consolidation near $1.32

    On the charts, XRP’s daily pattern is described as a bull flag forming after its late-August rally. The report said an upward push failed to break the formation as sellers defended the $1.40 area. After that rejection, XRP rebounded from roughly $1.32, a level the article characterized as former resistance that is now acting as support.

    Momentum, according to the article, is modestly constructive: the Relative Strength Index is reported at 54, a reading that does not signal overbought conditions. However, the flag’s downward slope indicates that sellers retain influence during consolidation, meaning bulls may need a catalyst—or renewed buying—to convert support into a confirmed breakout.

    The article noted that a decisive move could come from either progress on U.S. crypto market-structure legislation or stronger institutional inflows. Without that, XRP may remain range-bound as traders wait for confirmation above the $1.40 threshold.

    Bigger picture and what to watch next

    With rate expectations still sensitive to incoming U.S. data, XRP’s near-term direction is likely to remain tied to both macro pricing and the persistence of ETF demand. Traders will be watching whether spot XRP ETFs can sustain inflows later in September and whether XRP can hold above $1.32 long enough to challenge $1.40 again.

    Next catalysts to monitor include follow-on U.S. inflation and employment data that could shift expectations for the Fed, alongside any developments tied to U.S. crypto regulatory timelines and continued institutional product flows.

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