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    Home » Ethereum’s 5-Year Rally Fades as Analysts Point to $4,630 Rebound
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    Ethereum’s 5-Year Rally Fades as Analysts Point to $4,630 Rebound

    Stocks Breaking NewsStocks Breaking News3 weeks ago5 Mins Read
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    Ethereum’s 5-Year Rally Fades As Analysts Point To $4,630 Rebound
    Ethereum’s 5-Year Rally Fades As Analysts Point To $4,630 Rebound

    Ether traded near the same price area seen in March 2021, underscoring how investors are now weighing technical weakness against longer-term adoption narratives. According to CoinGecko data, Ether changed hands around $1,730 at the time of publication, up about 0.5% over the prior 24 hours after moving between $1,708 and $1,742.

    While the asset has experienced major rallies and subsequent drawdowns over the last five years, market commentary suggests the current levels may be less about renewed upside and more about whether Ether can form a durable base or slip toward lower support zones.

    Key takeaways

    • Price move: Ether was around $1,730, roughly stable on the day after trading in a tight intraday range.
    • Catalyst: Traders are focusing on technical support comparisons to March 2021 and on exchange-flow signals reported by analysts.
    • Key implication: A sustained hold near current support could reopen a path toward higher resistance levels, while a breakdown risks a move toward deeper support zones.
    • Trend check: Momentum indicators have eased from oversold conditions, but broader moving-average levels still point to an underlying downtrend.

    What drove the focus on March 2021 levels

    Analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a comparison between Ether’s March 2021 valuation and its current trading range. According to Martinez’s charting commentary, Ether was valued at roughly $1,700 in March 2021 and remains close to that area today.

    That framing is notable because Ether’s price action over the period has been volatile: even after reaching record highs, it later gave back those gains. Martinez also said the asset has shown no net appreciation from that starting point, despite years of trading swings.

    The immediate market question, according to the technical emphasis in the reporting, is whether Ether is building a multi-week floor or merely pausing before another decline toward the next major support levels.

    Analysts map opposing paths—recovery versus deeper correction

    Martinez identified $1,060 as an important value zone if Ether loses higher support. In his view, a move to that region would represent a deeper retracement, potentially prompting long-term investors to re-evaluate demand.

    On the upside, Martinez argued Ether needs to defend current support before it can attempt a recovery toward $2,850 and later $4,630—targets positioned in the commentary as areas the market previously associated with major price turning points.

    Another set of projections, shared by market commentator KNIGHT, pointed to a more cautious sequence. That outlook described repeated rejection near the $1,800 to $1,850 area, followed by declines through support zones around $1,500, $1,300, and potentially down to the $1,060 level referenced elsewhere as key.

    Separately, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe suggested current conditions could be favorable for long-term accumulation. In his commentary, investors may eventually look back at today’s prices as attractive entry levels over a five- to ten-year horizon, even though near-term resistance has continued to cap rebounds.

    Market reaction in the charts: stabilization, but trend still contested

    Recent price action has shown some stabilization after a selloff earlier this month. Over the past week, Ether briefly climbed above $1,830 before selling pressure returned and pushed the price toward the $1,680 area. Since then, Ether has recovered modestly and spent multiple sessions consolidating roughly between $1,700 and $1,750.

    On the daily chart, the asset remains below several widely watched moving averages. The 20-day moving average sits near $1,763, while the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day averages are positioned around $1,910, $2,072 and $2,346, respectively—levels that, according to the analysis, continue to weigh on the broader trend.

    Momentum improved slightly: the daily RSI has recovered from oversold conditions to around 43, indicating selling pressure has eased, though the indicator remains below the neutral 50 threshold. On the four-hour chart, Ether is trading around the middle Bollinger Band near $1,718, with the upper and lower bands around $1,750 and $1,687. The four-hour MACD has flattened near the zero line, signaling neither side has clear control.

    Technicians framed the next directional move as dependent on a break from the current consolidation. A push above $1,760 would bring Ether back above the 20-day moving average and could expose the $1,800 to $1,850 resistance zone. If that area holds, attention could shift toward the $2,000 level and higher targets referenced in the broader bullish scenarios.

    Conversely, failure to hold the existing range would put $1,680 back under pressure, with analysts pointing to $1,500, then $1,300, and ultimately the $1,060 zone as potential next supports if selling accelerates.

    Binance outflows add a second variable for traders

    Beyond price levels, exchange-flow data also entered the narrative. CryptoQuant analyst Rei Researcher reported an increase in Ethereum outflows from Binance during June 2026, noting that a sizable amount of ETH left the exchange while Ether traded near the $1,710 region.

    Exchange outflows are often interpreted as tokens being moved to private wallets, custodial platforms for staking, or other non-exchange locations rather than prepared for immediate sale. When sustained, such movements can reduce available exchange supply and potentially ease near-term selling pressure.

    However, Rei Researcher cautioned that outflows alone do not ensure higher prices. Market demand, broader macro conditions, and Bitcoin’s performance can still dominate direction, leaving Ether balanced between improving short-term momentum and a longer-term downtrend.

    What to watch next: Traders will likely monitor whether Ether can reclaim key resistance areas near $1,800 to $1,850 and hold above the $1,760 threshold on stronger buying. On the downside, focus remains on whether $1,680 and then $1,500 can be defended. In the coming weeks, broader crypto risk appetite could also hinge on market-wide drivers such as macro data releases, central bank signals, and Bitcoin’s direction.

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